What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week : May 10, 2010
Mortgage markets improved to their best levels of 2010 last week, aided by events half a world away and ongoing safe haven buying. Greece’s debt problems continue to help mortgage rate shoppers around the country.
Conventional mortgage rates dropped last week, ARMs falling more than fixed. FHA mortgage rates also improved.
Global concern for the Greece Situation are so strong that markets even shrugged off April’s blowout job report. On most other days, mortgage rates would soar on better-than-expected jobs data — especially coming out of a recession.
The Department of Labor’s April Non-Farm Payrolls reports:
- Payrolls have been net positive for 4 straight months
- Nearly 600,000 jobs have been created thus far in 2010
- Monthly job growth posted its biggest gain in 4 years in April
Additionally, more than 800,000 Americans re-entered the workforce in April in search of work. As a result, the Unemployment Rate jumped by 0.2 percent — another positive sign (in a roundabout way).
But again, Wall Street wasn’t watching jobs — Wall Street was watching Greece. And Greece was in riot.
This week, without much new data due on the economy, mortgage markets should continue to take cues from Greece, the IMF and the Eurozone. If a bailout agreement can be reached that investors feel is effective, the safe haven buying that’s led rates lower will recede and mortgage rates should rise.
Conversely, if an agreement is reached that investors deem ineffective, or no agreement is reached at all, mortgage rates should drop.
Each week for the last four weeks, we’ve talked about Greece and its pending bailout and how it might impact rates because each week the bailout appears imminent. Even this week, the market opens with the news that the IMF has approved a $40 billion lifeline to Greece. Maybe this will be the news that finally turns the mortgage market around.
Mortgage rates are unnaturally low right now and should change direction quickly. The problem is nobody knows when that will happen so be careful when rate shopping and keep an eye on the market.
Mortgage rates may fall further, but when they turn higher, they’re going to turn quickly.
Related posts:
- What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week : May 3, 2010
- What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week : April 12, 2010
- What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week : February 8, 2010
Michael Haigh has 20+ years of professional experience in the banking and mortgage industry. He has the knowledge, education, and dedication to get you the best loan for your situation, answer your questions honestly and completely, and make your mortgaging experience a pleasure. His reputation includes being the number one lender in the country for CitiBank for 9 years, then at Chase for 1 year and now with WJ Bradley since August of 2009. This is because of the quantity of loans, myriad of people he's helped, and his dedication to helping his clients find the perfect loan for them.
